Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsOn Holding Ltd (ONON)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.73
+5.35%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $288.59M
ONON
On Holding Ltd
$27.41
+2.09%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $9.35B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
On Holding Ltd generates 227% more annual revenue ($3.22B vs $985.17M). ONON leads profitability with a 12.3% profit margin vs -7.1%. ONON appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.45. ONON earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B).
FOSL
Avoid35
out of 100
Grade: F
ONON
Strong Buy70
out of 100
Grade: B
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+72.5%
Fair Value
$14.25
Current Price
$4.73
$9.52 discount
Margin of Safety
+9.8%
Fair Value
$50.24
Current Price
$27.41
$22.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 81.1% YoY
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 3.5%
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : ONON
The strongest argument for ONON centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.45 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.80 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : ONON
No major red flags identified for ONON, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while ONON is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
ONON carries more volatility with a beta of 2.08 — expect wider price swings.
ONON is growing revenue faster at 13.5% — sustainability is the question.
ONON generates stronger free cash flow (201M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ONON scores higher overall (70/100 vs 35/100) and 13.5% revenue growth. FOSL offers better value entry with a 72.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
On Holding Ltd
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
On Holding AG develops and distributes sports products worldwide. The company is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
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