WallStSmart

Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK)vsFossil Group Inc (FOSL)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Birkenstock Holding plc generates 119% more annual revenue ($2.18B vs $995.91M). BIRK leads profitability with a 16.3% profit margin vs -6.2%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. BIRK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).

BIRK

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 7/9Altman Z: 1.94

FOSL

Hold

38

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 3.5Value: 7.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.61
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Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for BIRK.

FOSLUndervalued (+73.6%)

Margin of Safety

+73.6%

Fair Value

$14.84

Current Price

$4.01

$10.83 discount

UndervaluedFair: $14.84Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BIRK2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
26.9%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 26.9%

FOSL1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

BIRK2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.944/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

EPS GrowthGrowth
-20.4%2/10

Earnings declined 20.4%

FOSL4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.614/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$234.04M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-58.3%2/10

ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BIRK

The strongest argument for BIRK centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 16.3% and operating margin at 26.9%. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : FOSL

The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : BIRK

The primary concerns for BIRK are Altman Z-Score, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : FOSL

The primary concerns for FOSL are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BIRK profiles as a mature stock while FOSL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.

FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.

BIRK is growing revenue faster at 7.7% — sustainability is the question.

BIRK generates stronger free cash flow (2M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

BIRK scores higher overall (58/100 vs 38/100), backed by strong 16.3% margins. FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Birkenstock Holding plc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA

Birkenstock Holding plc manufactures and sells footwear products. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Fossil Group Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA

Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

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