Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)vsFossil Group Inc (FOSL)
DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
$108.88
-1.17%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $15.81B
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.01
-3.37%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $234.04M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Deckers Outdoor Corporation generates 449% more annual revenue ($5.47B vs $995.91M). DECK leads profitability with a 18.7% profit margin vs -6.2%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. DECK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).
DECK
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
FOSL
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+80.9%
Fair Value
$596.59
Current Price
$108.88
$487.71 discount
Margin of Safety
+73.6%
Fair Value
$14.84
Current Price
$4.01
$10.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Earnings declined 4.8%
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DECK
The strongest argument for DECK centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 18.7% and operating margin at 14.0%. PEG of 1.42 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : DECK
The primary concerns for DECK are EPS Growth.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
DECK profiles as a mature stock while FOSL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.
DECK is growing revenue faster at 9.6% — sustainability is the question.
DECK generates stronger free cash flow (28M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
DECK scores higher overall (58/100 vs 38/100), backed by strong 18.7% margins. FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs, markets and distributes footwear, apparel and accessories for casual lifestyle and high performance activities. The company is headquartered in Goleta, California.
Visit Website →Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
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