WallStSmart

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP)vsThe Home Depot Inc (HD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

The Home Depot Inc generates 2773% more annual revenue ($164.68B vs $5.73B). HD leads profitability with a 8.6% profit margin vs 0.2%. HD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 50/100 (D+).

AMBP

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.0Value: 6.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.02

HD

Hold

50

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 7.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 3.82
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AMBPUndervalued (+49.4%)

Margin of Safety

+49.4%

Fair Value

$9.66

Current Price

$3.97

$5.69 discount

UndervaluedFair: $9.66Overvalued
HDSignificantly Overvalued (-29.7%)

Margin of Safety

-29.7%

Fair Value

$243.24

Current Price

$323.05

$79.81 premium

UndervaluedFair: $243.24Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AMBP3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
75.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 75.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
-11.9710/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Revenue GrowthGrowth
18.6%8/10

18.6% revenue growth

HD4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Market CapQuality
$322.59B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
145.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 146 in profit

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.8210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.29B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

AMBP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
0.2%3/10

0.2% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

Operating margin of 3.9%

Return on EquityProfitability
-63.6%2/10

ROE of -63.6% — below average capital efficiency

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-405.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

HD4 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.962/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Price/BookValuation
25.1x2/10

Trading at 25.1x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-3.8%2/10

Revenue declined 3.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AMBP

The strongest argument for AMBP centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 18.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : HD

The strongest argument for HD centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score.

Bear Case : AMBP

The primary concerns for AMBP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 0.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : HD

The primary concerns for HD are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Price/Book.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AMBP profiles as a growth stock while HD is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

HD carries more volatility with a beta of 1.00 — expect wider price swings.

AMBP is growing revenue faster at 18.6% — sustainability is the question.

HD generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

HD scores higher overall (50/100 vs 42/100). AMBP offers better value entry with a 49.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) is a prominent global player in sustainable metal packaging, delivering innovative solutions tailored for the beverage, food, and personal care sectors. With an extensive network of production facilities worldwide, the company leverages advanced manufacturing techniques to ensure responsiveness and product quality that cater to diverse market demands. Ardagh's robust commitment to sustainability and alignment with circular economy principles not only enhances its competitive positioning but also aligns with the increasing consumer and regulatory shift towards eco-friendly packaging, presenting attractive growth prospects and value creation for institutional investors.

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The Home Depot Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · HOME IMPROVEMENT RETAIL · USA

The Home Depot, Inc., commonly known as Home Depot, is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, supplying tools, construction products, and services. The company is headquartered in incorporated Cobb County, Georgia, with an Atlanta mailing address.

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