Fossil Group Inc (FOSL)vsSteven Madden Ltd (SHOO)
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.10
+0.74%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $112.95M
SHOO
Steven Madden Ltd
$33.99
+1.55%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.44B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Steven Madden Ltd generates 134% more annual revenue ($2.53B vs $1.08B). SHOO leads profitability with a 1.8% profit margin vs -5.5%. FOSL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.23. SHOO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 52/100 (C-).
FOSL
Hold37
out of 100
Grade: F
SHOO
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for FOSL.
Margin of Safety
-802.1%
Fair Value
$4.28
Current Price
$33.99
$29.71 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 29.4% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -39.3% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 15.2%
Earnings declined 81.7%
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of 5.5% — below average capital efficiency
1.8% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SHOO
The strongest argument for SHOO centers on Altman Z-Score, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 29.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Bear Case : SHOO
The primary concerns for SHOO are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 53.1x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
FOSL profiles as a turnaround stock while SHOO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.64 — expect wider price swings.
SHOO is growing revenue faster at 29.4% — sustainability is the question.
SHOO generates stronger free cash flow (81M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SHOO scores higher overall (52/100 vs 37/100) and 29.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
Steven Madden Ltd
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, supplies, markets and sells private label and brand name footwear for women, men and children in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
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