Origin Agritech Ltd (SEED)vsScotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)
SEED
Origin Agritech Ltd
$1.24
+9.73%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $13.22M
SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
$67.67
+1.24%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $3.93B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company generates 3625% more annual revenue ($3.40B vs $91.29M). SMG leads profitability with a 2.6% profit margin vs -58.4%. SEED appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.62. SMG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 43/100 (D).
SEED
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
SMG
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for SEED.
Margin of Safety
+3.8%
Fair Value
$69.86
Current Price
$67.67
$2.19 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -3.7% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 11.2%
Grey zone — moderate risk
2.6% margin — thin
ROE of -47.6% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 3.3%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : SEED
The strongest argument for SEED centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : SMG
The strongest argument for SMG centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.73 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : SEED
The primary concerns for SEED are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : SMG
The primary concerns for SMG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Return on Equity. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
SEED profiles as a turnaround stock while SMG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
SMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.92 — expect wider price swings.
SMG is growing revenue faster at -3.3% — sustainability is the question.
SEED generates stronger free cash flow (-20M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
SMG scores higher overall (43/100 vs 31/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Origin Agritech Ltd
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · China
Origin Agritech Limited, operates an agricultural biotechnology and e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company manufactures, markets, and sells lawn and garden products to consumers in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio.
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