CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsOrigin Agritech Ltd (SEED)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$117.54
-2.36%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $16.82B
SEED
Origin Agritech Ltd
$1.00
-4.76%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $13.71M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 10763% more annual revenue ($7.41B vs $68.18M). CF leads profitability with a 23.7% profit margin vs -61.8%. SEED appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.62. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B).
CF
Strong Buy75
out of 100
Grade: B
SEED
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+49.7%
Fair Value
$217.58
Current Price
$117.54
$100.04 discount
Margin of Safety
+79.2%
Fair Value
$5.33
Current Price
$1.00
$4.33 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 33.6%
Earnings expanding 115.1% YoY
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
19.4% revenue growth
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -372.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 31.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.7% and operating margin at 33.6%. Revenue growth of 19.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SEED
The strongest argument for SEED centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : SEED
The primary concerns for SEED are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while SEED is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
SEED carries more volatility with a beta of 1.54 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 19.4% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (273M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (75/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 23.7% margins and 19.4% revenue growth. SEED offers better value entry with a 79.2% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →Origin Agritech Ltd
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · China
Origin Agritech Limited, operates an agricultural biotechnology and e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China.
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