CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsOrigin Agritech Ltd (SEED)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$133.07
-1.35%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $20.33B
SEED
Origin Agritech Ltd
$1.05
-0.48%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $12.73M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 11250% more annual revenue ($7.74B vs $68.18M). CF leads profitability with a 27.1% profit margin vs -61.8%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.60. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 83/100 (A-).
CF
Exceptional Buy83
out of 100
Grade: A-
SEED
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+39.3%
Fair Value
$227.38
Current Price
$133.07
$94.31 discount
Margin of Safety
+78.7%
Fair Value
$5.22
Current Price
$1.04
$4.17 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 37 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 49.3%
Earnings expanding 99.6% YoY
Keeps 27 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
No major concerns identified
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -372.0% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 31.9%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 27.1% and operating margin at 49.3%. Revenue growth of 17.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : SEED
The strongest argument for SEED centers on Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.62 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CF
No major red flags identified for CF, but monitor valuation.
Bear Case : SEED
The primary concerns for SEED are Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while SEED is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
SEED carries more volatility with a beta of 1.54 — expect wider price swings.
CF is growing revenue faster at 17.6% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (607M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (83/100 vs 31/100), backed by strong 27.1% margins and 17.6% revenue growth. SEED offers better value entry with a 78.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Exceptional Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →Origin Agritech Ltd
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · China
Origin Agritech Limited, operates an agricultural biotechnology and e-commerce platform in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Beijing, China.
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