WallStSmart

BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc generates 1598% more annual revenue ($22.81B vs $1.34B). NGVC leads profitability with a 3.5% profit margin vs 2.6%. NGVC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.44. BJ earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).

BJ

Buy

58

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.7Profit: 6.0Value: 4.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.58

NGVC

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 5.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.90
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BJSignificantly Overvalued (-62.6%)

Margin of Safety

-62.6%

Fair Value

$61.21

Current Price

$90.97

$29.76 premium

UndervaluedFair: $61.21Overvalued
NGVCUndervalued (+19.6%)

Margin of Safety

+19.6%

Fair Value

$30.75

Current Price

$30.08

$0.67 discount

UndervaluedFair: $30.75Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BJ3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.5810/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
27.1%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 27 in profit

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.7%8/10

15.7% revenue growth

NGVC2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
14.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

BJ4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.164/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
2.6%3/10

2.6% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.0%3/10

Operating margin of 4.0%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.263/10

Elevated debt levels

NGVC4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.8%4/10

1.8% revenue growth

Market CapQuality
$675.70M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

3.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.9%3/10

Operating margin of 3.9%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BJ

The strongest argument for BJ centers on Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 15.7% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : NGVC

The strongest argument for NGVC centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : BJ

The primary concerns for BJ are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 2.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : NGVC

The primary concerns for NGVC are Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Thin 3.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BJ profiles as a growth stock while NGVC is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.

BJ is growing revenue faster at 15.7% — sustainability is the question.

BJ generates stronger free cash flow (224M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

BJ scores higher overall (58/100 vs 50/100) and 15.7% revenue growth. NGVC offers better value entry with a 19.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc., operates warehouse clubs on the East Coast of the United States. The company is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts.

Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA

Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.

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