Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)vsNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc (NGVC)
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc
$107.00
+0.95%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $21.28B
NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
$26.44
+1.81%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $730.40M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Dollar Tree Inc generates 1374% more annual revenue ($19.41B vs $1.32B). DLTR leads profitability with a 6.6% profit margin vs 3.3%. DLTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.12. DLTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
DLTR
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
NGVC
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+11.4%
Fair Value
$141.13
Current Price
$107.00
$34.13 discount
Margin of Safety
+71.9%
Fair Value
$87.98
Current Price
$26.44
$61.54 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 25.0% YoY
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
6.6% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
3.3% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.7%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DLTR
The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity. PEG of 1.12 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : NGVC
The strongest argument for NGVC centers on Return on Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : DLTR
The primary concerns for DLTR are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.51 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : NGVC
The primary concerns for NGVC are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
NGVC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.20 — expect wider price swings.
DLTR is growing revenue faster at 9.0% — sustainability is the question.
DLTR generates stronger free cash flow (970M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
DLTR scores higher overall (63/100 vs 60/100). NGVC offers better value entry with a 71.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Visit Website →Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Natural Grocers of Vitamin Cottage, Inc., sells natural and organic foods and dietary supplements in the United States. The company is headquartered in Lakewood, Colorado.
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