CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$117.54
+2.74%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $16.82B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$65.45
+0.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 2031% more annual revenue ($7.41B vs $347.57M). CF leads profitability with a 23.7% profit margin vs -20.5%. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B).
CF
Strong Buy75
out of 100
Grade: B
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+49.7%
Fair Value
$217.58
Current Price
$117.54
$100.04 discount
Margin of Safety
-55.4%
Fair Value
$37.03
Current Price
$65.45
$28.42 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 33.6%
Earnings expanding 115.1% YoY
Keeps 24 of every $100 in revenue as profit
19.4% revenue growth
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.7% and operating margin at 33.6%. Revenue growth of 19.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (273M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (75/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 23.7% margins and 19.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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