CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)
CF
CF Industries Holdings Inc
$126.78
+3.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $19.48B
MP
MP Materials Corp
$61.30
-0.65%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.89B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CF Industries Holdings Inc generates 2472% more annual revenue ($7.08B vs $275.46M). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs -31.2%. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).
CF
Strong Buy76
out of 100
Grade: B+
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+57.5%
Fair Value
$228.09
Current Price
$126.78
$101.31 discount
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%
Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit
Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CF
The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CF
The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CF profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.68 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
CF generates stronger free cash flow (313M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.
Visit Website →MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
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